Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035649 0.038797 0.041962 0.045376 0.048948 0.052569 0.056512
2025-12-14 0.030432 0.035083 0.039910 0.045268 0.051028 0.057012 0.063680
2025-12-21 0.027216 0.033020 0.039210 0.046250 0.053983 0.062174 0.071458
2025-12-28 0.023482 0.029997 0.037137 0.045446 0.054760 0.064795 0.076345
2026-01-04 0.021015 0.028136 0.036132 0.045625 0.056446 0.068273 0.082053
2026-01-11 0.019227 0.026878 0.035660 0.046269 0.058540 0.072110 0.088082
2026-01-18 0.017662 0.025740 0.035207 0.046831 0.060452 0.075674 0.093752
2026-01-25 0.015165 0.023277 0.033030 0.045235 0.059757 0.076184 0.095886
2026-02-01 0.013512 0.021742 0.031863 0.044742 0.060265 0.078000 0.099448
2026-02-08 0.012187 0.020528 0.031011 0.044556 0.061074 0.080118 0.103315
2026-02-15 0.011646 0.020306 0.031366 0.045820 0.063594 0.084216 0.109463
2026-02-22 0.011027 0.019930 0.031491 0.046768 0.065712 0.087830 0.115043
2026-03-01 0.010271 0.019336 0.031326 0.047370 0.067444 0.091037 0.120219
2026-03-08 0.009385 0.018499 0.030803 0.047488 0.068566 0.093514 0.124541
2026-03-15 0.008943 0.018275 0.031074 0.048607 0.070915 0.097458 0.130601
2026-03-22 0.007873 0.017035 0.029913 0.047829 0.070871 0.098500 0.133204
2026-03-29 0.007224 0.016389 0.029530 0.048037 0.072038 0.100989 0.137518
2026-04-05 0.006777 0.016025 0.029516 0.048712 0.073781 0.104168 0.142651
2026-04-12 0.006337 0.015638 0.029447 0.049296 0.075397 0.107186 0.147591
2026-04-19 0.005306 0.014175 0.027764 0.047654 0.074122 0.106623 0.148188
2026-04-26 0.004674 0.013333 0.026942 0.047146 0.074279 0.107804 0.150875
2026-05-03 0.004175 0.012680 0.026370 0.046955 0.074826 0.109455 0.154125
2026-05-10 0.004061 0.012737 0.026870 0.048258 0.077332 0.113552 0.160365